Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.046432 0.054123 0.062681 0.072909 0.084802 0.098198 0.114436
2025-11-02 0.035412 0.045723 0.058399 0.075129 0.096639 0.123382 0.159199
2025-11-09 0.027211 0.037994 0.052301 0.072671 0.100952 0.138872 0.193677
2025-11-16 0.022445 0.033419 0.048918 0.072406 0.107135 0.156676 0.232893
2025-11-23 0.018883 0.029719 0.045873 0.071705 0.112036 0.172721 0.271254
2025-11-30 0.016647 0.027526 0.044542 0.073089 0.119867 0.193678 0.319413
2025-12-07 0.014428 0.024956 0.042161 0.072311 0.123944 0.209015 0.360407
2025-12-14 0.012412 0.022383 0.039349 0.070307 0.125528 0.220223 0.395691
2025-12-21 0.010747 0.020149 0.036764 0.068247 0.126588 0.230434 0.430267
2025-12-28 0.009846 0.019148 0.036182 0.069625 0.133857 0.252272 0.488372
2026-01-04 0.008933 0.017987 0.035135 0.069955 0.139140 0.271002 0.542912
2026-01-11 0.008130 0.016921 0.034116 0.070169 0.144160 0.289721 0.599661
2026-01-18 0.007494 0.016121 0.033544 0.071260 0.151202 0.313514 0.670338
2026-01-25 0.007026 0.015607 0.033484 0.073404 0.160707 0.343477 0.757935
2026-02-01 0.006204 0.014216 0.031416 0.070997 0.160219 0.352621 0.802210
2026-02-08 0.005663 0.013368 0.030398 0.070737 0.164357 0.372087 0.871716
2026-02-15 0.005152 0.012519 0.029263 0.070052 0.167422 0.389507 0.938789
2026-02-22 0.004839 0.012091 0.029024 0.071404 0.175361 0.418859 1.037549
2026-03-01 0.004421 0.011351 0.027962 0.070644 0.178147 0.436548 1.110534
2026-03-08 0.003978 0.010487 0.026493 0.068686 0.177730 0.446514 1.165697
2026-03-15 0.003581 0.009685 0.025077 0.066674 0.176908 0.455365 1.219171
2026-03-22 0.003395 0.009415 0.024965 0.068020 0.184931 0.487363 1.337180
2026-03-29 0.003175 0.009023 0.024491 0.068342 0.190284 0.513144 1.442007